Quarterly Market Trends

Des Moines Industrial Market Report Q3 2025: Key Trends, Opportunities & Insights

Market Cycle Context: From Growth to Stabilization

Over the past decade, the Des Moines industrial market has experienced significant transformation:

  • 2014–2021: Industrial property values nearly doubled, fueled by e-commerce expansion, supply chain shifts, and reshoring.
  • 2021–2024: Over 6.8 million square feet of new space delivered (an 8.3% inventory increase), leading to a market correction as supply outpaced demand.
  • 2025: The market has reached a new equilibrium, with prices and rents stabilizing and the construction pipeline slowing dramatically.

Economic Overview: Labor Market & Manufacturing

Region

Unemployment Rate (Aug 2025)

Change YoY

Manufacturing Job Growth

Des Moines MSA

4.2%

+0.7%

-900 jobs

Iowa (Statewide)

3.8%

N/A

N/A

United States

4.3%

+0.1%

N/A

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  • Des Moines MSA: Unemployment rose to 4.2%, tracking closely with national trends and slightly above the state average.
  • Manufacturing: Industrial job growth in manufacturing declined by 900 jobs year-over-year, reflecting ongoing sector adjustments.

Market Overview: Inventory, Absorption & Vacancy

Metric

Q3 2025 Value

YTD 2025

Historical Context

Total Market Size

82.1 million sf

+8.3% since 2021

Net Absorption

-154,100 sf

+375,000 sf

Highest since early 2023

Vacancy Rate (Overall)

5.7%

Stable, near cyclical peak

Multi-Tenant Absorption

-41,200 sf

+535,700 sf

 

Multi-Tenant Vacancy Rate

12.8%

 

Construction Pipeline

106,800 sf (7 projects)

Down 98% from 2021-2024 peak

New Deliveries (YTD)

376,500 sf

 

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  • Absorption: Despite a quarterly dip, year-to-date absorption remains positive, signaling ongoing tenant demand.
  • Vacancy: The overall 5.7% vacancy rate is healthy and stable, while multi-tenant properties offer more options at 12.8%.
  • Construction: Only 106,800 sf under construction—a dramatic reduction from previous years—supports future market balance.

Submarket Performance: Leaders & Laggards

Submarket

Vacancy Rate

Absorption (Q3)

Notable Activity

Ankeny

1.4%

N/A

Lowest vacancy, strong demand

Des Moines CBD

5.7%

+15,700 sf

Only market with positive absorption

Des Moines West

8.2%

N/A

Highest vacancy, weakest performance

Des Moines South

N/A

-104,500 sf

Largest negative absorption (Westco exit)

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  • Ankeny: Tightest submarket, extremely limited availability.
  • Des Moines CBD: Only submarket with positive absorption in Q3, showing resilience.
  • Des Moines West: Highest vacancy, indicating more options for tenants.
  • Des Moines South: Largest negative absorption, mainly due to a major sublease vacancy.

Leasing & Sales Activity: Market Engagement

  • Leasing: 372,400 sf leased in 23 transactions during Q3 2025, demonstrating strong tenant activity.
  • Sales: 28 properties totaling 858,500 sf sold for $95.8 million, reflecting robust investor confidence and market liquidity.

Construction Cycle: Supply & Demand Rebalancing

  • Historic Construction (2021–2024): 6.8M sf delivered, expanding inventory by 8.3%.
  • Current Pipeline: Only 106,800 sf under construction—a 98% reduction from the recent peak, signaling a return to supply-demand balance and supporting future rent growth.

Market Outlook & Strategic Recommendations

  • Stabilization Phase: The market is at the bottom-to-recovery transition, with vacancy rates stabilizing and absorption improving.
  • Investment Climate: Reduced development risk, stabilized pricing, and strong transaction activity make this an attractive entry point for investors.
  • Tenant Opportunities: Multi-tenant properties offer availability, while high-demand submarkets like Ankeny present limited supply and competitive leasing.
  • Submarket Strategy: Focus on Tier 1 submarkets (vacancy <3%) for stability, and monitor Tier 3/4 for value opportunities as the market recovers.